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How to prepare for 2022 as an investor

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Next year is rapidly approaching, and after all the volatility lately, 2022 cannot arrive soon enough. Investors are now confronting the double whammy of the new Omicron variant and a more hawkish Federal Reserve.

With continued gridlock in Congress and possible tax increases on the horizon, investors are understandably confused as to which direction the market is heading.

With less than a month to go in 2021, what should an investor do now to be well-positioned for the new year?

Take Tax Losses to Offset Gains

Equities across the board are up by more than 20% for the year, with technology performing particularly well. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum have doubled in value. Meme stocks, like AMC and GameStop, which have gained a strong following on social media, have exploded this year. If you have sold any of these during the year, you could have massive gains.

Check your taxable portfolios to see if you have any losses to use against these gains. As always, consult with your tax advisor, but selling your losers may lower your tax bill in April.

Decrease Bond Holdings

Maybe you have too much money invested in low-yielding bonds. Longer duration or interest rate sensitive bonds could get hurt in a rising interest rate environment. With the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond only yielding 1.5% today, and inflation running at over 6%, odds favor two to four interest rate hikes in 2022.

If the Federal Reserve does start raising interest rates next year, a 1% move higher in rates on the 10-year bond will mean a 10% loss. If we experience worse than expected inflation, bonds could be a disaster.

Bet on Equities

This may be the time to consider increasing the allocation of stocks in your portfolio to 70% and lowering bonds to 30%.

If interest rates rise in 2022 because of inflation, bonds will underperform stocks. Inflation also helps companies in the cyclical/value sectors like those in the financial, energy, and industrial industries because they can raise prices in response, which increases their profits. So, you may want to have some exposure to these stocks as a hedge.

Now is not the time to take your eye off the ball. If you think 2021 was difficult to be an investor, 2022 could be even harder. However, by making these simple moves–taking losses, reducing bonds, and investing more in equities, you can look ahead knowing you are well prepared for whatever surprises 2022 may throw at us.

Happy New Year!

Thumbnail Fred Taylor Headshot Current Fred Taylor is a Partner, Managing Director at Beacon Pointe Advisors, LLC.

Important Disclosure:
The information contained in this article is for general informational purposes only. Opinions referenced are as of the publication date and may be modified due to changes in the market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Beacon Pointe has exercised all reasonable professional care in preparing this information. The information has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable; however, Beacon Pointe has not independently verified or attested to the accuracy or authenticity of the information. The discussions, outlook, and viewpoints featured are not intended to be investment advice and do not consider specific investment objectives or risk tolerance you may have. All investments involve risks, including the loss of principal. Consult your financial professional for guidance specific to your circumstances.

Why and how to improve your investing behavior

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I believe it’s valuable to step back from all of the political, financial market, and economic noise and ask ourselves some fundamental questions: Why am I investing? For what am I investing? How will I get there?

The answers to these questions will never be found in today’s attention-seeking headlines. Their goal is to tell you what has happened.

Instead, the answers to these questions depend upon clarifying what you want, developing a plan, and following that plan. It is crucial to focus on your goals, your plan, and, lastly, your portfolio.

The most fundamental questions to be asked are, “Why am I investing? What are my plans for the future? What are my dreams? Where do I want to be three years from today?”

Get clear about what it is that you want and what would make you happy. If you set specific goals, get them clear in your mind, and share those goals with someone, you create accountability.

The next step is developing a detailed plan to achieve those goals. You and your behavior are the most critical variable in your investment success.

Your success has far less to do with the economic conditions, market variables, or in what you have invested and much more to do with your behavior and emotions.

Your plan, discipline to stick with your plan, and how much money you save are the three variables everyone can control.

Let’s dig deeper into the three significant areas: your goals, your plan, and your implementation.

There are two primary questions to be asked. First, why are you investing? Most people like the idea of having freedom in their future and see freedom from work as a goal, so many invest to accumulate capital for retirement. They want the confidence that comes from knowing the money will be there, now and well into the future. Some even want to leave a legacy. The critical question is: will I outlive my money, or will my money outlive me?

But how much is enough? How much income will I need in retirement to provide a comfortable lifestyle? A critical element in this area is protecting the purchasing power of that income over a 25-, 35- or 50-year life cycle. We believe it is essential your income continues to grow during retirement. We are believers in increasing income and favor owning businesses with growing dividends. It should be pretty clear how important it is to have a clear specific accumulation goal. Without one, you will never know if you’re on track. If you don’t know where you’re going, you’re not going to get there, which leads to the third essential ingredient: the plan.

It’s essential to have a written, date-specific, dollar-specific plan for accumulating capital that will provide growing income during your retirement. The equation for this is how much you save regularly, over what period, and at what return rate. Interestingly, this is not taught in school or embraced in formal education fashion. Looking at this is critical for anyone planning for retirement. It is far better to have a plan than just “see what happens” or ride things out.

Part of that plan is the implementation, or the “how.” We are firm believers in dividend-paying companies and the rising cash flow they’re capable of providing long-term. Some great companies have been increasing their dividends for upwards of 50 years without interruption.

Doesn’t that sound nice to have your retirement pay continue to grow each year at a rate more significant than the inflation rate? This will be critical for retirees in the future, as traditional pension plans tend to be flat. Social Security tends to increase at an anemic rate of 1% per year, while inflation rises at 2 – 3% per year.

If your income is not growing, you are losing 2 – 3% per year to inflation. This loss of purchasing power does not show up on your investment statement; instead, you experience it at the grocery checkout when you realize your income just does not go as far as it used to. At a 3% inflation rate, your purchasing power is being shaved in half in just about 25 years. That is alarming news to someone turning 80 years old.

There is a beautiful benefit to having a long-term investment strategy of goals, plans, implementation, and a portfolio. It is the excellent reward you experience when prices of stocks fall temporarily, and you view this as an opportunity rather than a catastrophe. When prices decline, it’s a great time to accumulate income-generating assets. The more ownership of income-producing assets you have in the portfolio, the more income you’ll generate. It’s like a snowball.

Why you are investing (clearly knowing and having your goals), having a plan that reflects your goals, and implementing the plan are the keys to financial security in retirement.

How you behave is everything.

Steve Booren Photo Steve Booren is the Owner & Founder of Prosperion Financial Advisors. Steve Booren founded Prosperion Financial Advisors in 1996. Since then, he has grown the practice to one of the top 20 largest financial advisory firms in the Denver area. Utilizing his 40+ years of investment experience, Steve authored the book, Intelligent Investing: Your Guide to a Growing Retirement Income, in 2019, and is a frequent contributor to The Denver Post on financial topics.

Securities offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC.